Will Sam Bankman-Fried successfully appeal any of his convictions or sentence?
PolíticaOne-OffCrime e justiçaCriptoEleiçãoRegulamentação5dManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 09:52 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 97%
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Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado4/11/23, 22:31 UTC1/11/26, 07:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolves YES if any of his 7 convictions are overturned or he asks for and gets a resentencing.
- Resolves NO when his direct appeal is over or his time to appeal has lapsed, e.g. cert denied at SCOTUS.
- Update 2026-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A presidential pardon does not count as a successful appeal and would resolve the market NO.
