Will Rio Tinto's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 3.4 million tonnes?
ChinaOne-OffCommodities2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 62.6%
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Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado4/05/26, 17:53 UTC31/05/29, 23:59 UTC
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This market resolves YES if Rio Tinto's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 (January 1 – December 31, 2028) exceeds 3.4 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2029 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2028 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- Rio Tinto. 2024 actual 3.3 Mt (+1% YoY); Kitimat ramp + NZAS full ownership.
- The 3.4 Mt strike for 2028 reflects continued post-ramp run-rate; meaningful deviation requires either smelter restarts (Tomago, Bell Bay) or further M&A. Resolution sources (priority order):
- Rio Tinto quarterly production results and annual report https://www.riotinto.com/en/invest/financial-news-performance/quarterly-production-results
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Rio Tinto's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 3.4 million tonnes??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 63% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Rio Tinto's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 3.4 million tonnes? é resolvido?
- Will Rio Tinto's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 3.4 million tonnes? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de maio de 2029.
- Como Will Rio Tinto's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 3.4 million tonnes? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if Rio Tinto's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 (January 1 – December 31, 2028) exceeds 3.4 million tonnes.