Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 81.5%
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13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado12/02/25, 14:39 UTC15/08/29, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiRegras
Reform UK, formerly known as the Brexit Party, has shown increasing popularity in recent polls.
- In early February 2025, a YouGov poll placed Reform UK at 25%, ahead of both Labour (24%) and the Conservatives (21%).
- The party is particularly attracting former Conservative voters, with about 33% of past Conservative voters considering Reform UK.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if both of the following conditions are met:
- Reform UK has the highest percentage in the final YouGov voting intention poll conducted before the next UK general election
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 82% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose? é resolvido?
- Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose? deverá ser resolvido em 15 de agosto de 2029.
- Como Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Reform UK, formerly known as the Brexit Party, has shown increasing popularity in recent polls.