Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 96%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado1/08/26, 04:49 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Aella (the original creator) have a baby by the end of 2027?
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Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves YES if a biological child of mine is born alive before the end of 2027.
- Inspired by @Aella's market.
- Unlike that one, an ongoing pregnancy at the deadline does not count.
Mercados abertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volume total
- € 15,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 20,3 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 8 mil
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- € 84,1 mil
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- € 652,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3,4 mil
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 865,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3 mil
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volume total
- € 915,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,2 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will @Parallax have a baby by the end of 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will @Parallax have a baby by the end of 2027? é resolvido?
- Will @Parallax have a baby by the end of 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will @Parallax have a baby by the end of 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if a biological child of mine is born alive before the end of 2027.