Will OpenAI go public in 2026?
RegulamentaçãoIAOne-OffTecnologiaPolítica comercialEventos corporativosPolítica dos EUA2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 97%
Previsores
39
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado13/01/26, 19:43 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO?
Manifold MarketsWhich week will Anthropic's IPO prospectus (Form S-1) go public on SEC EDGAR?
Manifold MarketsCompanies to go public in 2026
Futuur1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic go public NOT via an IPO?
Manifold MarketsWill Discord go public by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegras
Resolution criteria
- OpenAI will be considered to have gone public in 2026 if it completes an initial public offering (IPO) and begins trading on a public stock exchange at any point during the calendar year 2026.
- This includes any IPO filing, pricing, and first day of trading occurring in 2026.
- The resolution will be verified through major financial news sources (Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC, WSJ) and official SEC filings if the IPO occurs in the United States.
- OpenAI completed its recapitalization process to go from a non-profit to a for-profit in October 2025.
- According to a Reuters report from November, OpenAI was planning an IPO of up to $1 trillion as early as late 2026.
