Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 60.2%
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118
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado26/01/24, 00:32 UTC1/01/33, 07:59 UTC
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PredictItRegras
We’ve got two 81 year old career politicians, born in 1942, from opposing sides of the aisle.
- Will Cocaine Mitch croak before Scranton Joe? Can Grandpa Biden outlast Ol’ Man McConnell?
- This market will extend as needed.
Mercados abertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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- $50M+10.0pt95%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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- Helena Foulkes-0.4pt97.1%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
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POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+2.8pt57.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt28.3%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 60% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden? é resolvido?
- Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2033.
- Como Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: We’ve got two 81 year old career politicians, born in 1942, from opposing sides of the aisle.