Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 88.9%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado21/05/23, 10:30 UTC1/02/31, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiRegras
Resolves No if Metaculus permanently shuts down or stops working.
- If it is still working, resolves Yes.
- If Metaculus does something unexpected e.g. merge with Manifold Markets: resolves Yes if questions made before the merger still work afterwards.
- No if those questions permanently stop working.
Mercados abertos
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 48,8 mil
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 182,1 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 mais resultados
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
+4 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 mais resultados
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
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- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 89% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030? é resolvido?
- Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2031.
- Como Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves No if Metaculus permanently shuts down or stops working.