Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030?
Eventos corporativosOne-Off4aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 91.7%
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 22 minutos
21/05/23, 10:30 UTC1/02/31, 22:59 UTC
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Resolves No if Metaculus permanently shuts down or stops working.
- If it is still working, resolves Yes.
- If Metaculus does something unexpected e.g. merge with Manifold Markets: resolves Yes if questions made before the merger still work afterwards.
- No if those questions permanently stop working.