Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 57.4%
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado23/06/26, 17:31 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolves YES if, by 23:59 ET on Dec 31, 2027, Meta Platforms makes a real money prediction market product (the app reported by NYT as internally codenamed "Arena," or any successor/rebrand) publicly available to general users in at least one market, via official launch or public beta.
- Users should be able stake and win real money or real-money-equivalent value (cash, crypto, redeemable credits).
- Sweepstakes or promotional models count as long as they pay out real-money value.
- Pure play-money, points-only, or free-to-play versions with no cash-equivalent payout do not count.
- Waitlist, internal-only test or unreleased announcement does not count.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
Mercados abertos
Crypto
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.9pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+32.5pt87%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
- $75,300 or above99%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 319,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 299,2 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
- 70,000+0.4pt100%
- 72,000+0.6pt100%
+8 mais resultados
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Meta (Facebook) launches real money prediction market app by end of 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 57% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Meta (Facebook) launches real money prediction market app by end of 2027? é resolvido?
- Meta (Facebook) launches real money prediction market app by end of 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Meta (Facebook) launches real money prediction market app by end of 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if, by 23:59 ET on Dec 31, 2027, Meta Platforms makes a real money prediction market product (the app reported by NYT as internally codenamed "Arena," or any successor/rebrand) publicly available to general users in at least one market, via official launch or public beta.