Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 70.7%
Previsores
35
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado1/07/25, 14:59 UTC6/11/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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PolymarketRegras
Resolves N/A if Mamdani loses this year.
- Resolves to the next election.
Mercados abertos
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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- Jon Ossoff17%
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- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Mamdani be re-elected??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 71% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Mamdani be re-elected? é resolvido?
- Will Mamdani be re-elected? deverá ser resolvido em 6 de novembro de 2029.
- Como Will Mamdani be re-elected? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves N/A if Mamdani loses this year.