Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 51.1%
Previsores
55
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado5/02/24, 18:33 UTC13/02/29, 05:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
What will happen before King Charles III dies? [Add Answers!]
Manifold MarketsWhen will King Charles III die?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will King Charles III visit in 2026?
Manifold MarketsFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by which date?
PolymarketEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
King Charles III was recently diagnosed with cancer, as per a press release from Buckingham Palace (https://www.royal.uk/a-statement-from-buckingham-palace-5Feb24)
- Also here: https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-68208157.amp
- Survival in cancer is typically considered if the patient survives 5 years after the initial diagnosis.
- Clarifications:
- 1) If King Charles dies of any causes in the 5 years after the diagnosis, market will resolve No. 2) If the date of diagnosis is made public, that will be the start date.
Mercados abertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- € 15,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 18,3 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,2 mil
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume total
- € 916 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,5 mil
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 863,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will King Charles survive his cancer diagnosis??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 51% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will King Charles survive his cancer diagnosis? é resolvido?
- Will King Charles survive his cancer diagnosis? deverá ser resolvido em 13 de fevereiro de 2029.
- Como Will King Charles survive his cancer diagnosis? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: King Charles III was recently diagnosed with cancer, as per a press release from Buckingham Palace (https://www.royal.uk/a-statement-from-buckingham-palace-5Feb24)