Will Kim Ju Ae be formally designated as the heir to Kim Jong Un in 2026?
One-OffPolíticaGeopolítica2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90%
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado12/02/26, 20:15 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Kim Ju-ae become the next leader of North Korea after Kim Jong-un?
Manifold MarketsKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket🇺🇸 Will Trump meet Kim Jong Un before end of 2026? 🇰🇵
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un meet in person in year 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsDonald Trump to Meet Kim Jong-Un in 2026?
FutuurRegras
Requires a formal announcement from North Korean government.
- Will resolve based on a consensus of popular reporting: not just that intelligence analysis or reading between the lines indicates Kim Ju Ae as the likely successor, but reporting indicating that North Korea has formally designated Kim Ju Ae as the next leader after Kim Jong Un.
- Resolves when this occurs, even if later in the year, this is changed or undone.
- If her name is different than Kim Ju Ae, but we're still referring to the 12-14 year old daughter of Kim Jong Un (his ~probably second oldest child), then that's fine, given that her name is uncertain at the moment.
- I will not bet on this market, so as to remain unbiased as to what constitutes a formal announcement of her position as heir.
