Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 78.6%
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado20/03/23, 00:01 UTC1/01/31, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
Os critérios de resolução ainda não estão disponíveis para este mercado. Esta seção será preenchida nas próximas atualizações quando as regras da fonte forem armazenadas.
Mercados abertos
ReligionKALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No88%
- Yes-38.0pt12%
- Volume total
- € 10,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 9,5 mil
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume total
- € 56,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 9,2 mil
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Pietro Parolin-0.8pt4%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 118 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 4,3
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No-0.5pt90%
- Yes+0.5pt10%
- Volume total
- € 797,6
- Volume 24h
- —
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume total
- € 674,1
- Volume 24h
- —
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Volume total
- € 3,1
- Volume 24h
- —
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Jose Luis Ricon convert to Christian/Mormon Transhumanism by 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 79% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Jose Luis Ricon convert to Christian/Mormon Transhumanism by 2030? é resolvido?
- Will Jose Luis Ricon convert to Christian/Mormon Transhumanism by 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2031.