Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 98.6%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado3/04/26, 08:32 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
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PolymarketRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "YES" if the Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs on or before December 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO".
- Resolution will be based on consensus across major international news outlets and religious authorities confirming the event.
- In the event of ambiguity or lack of verifiable reporting, the market will resolve to "NO".
- The Second Coming of Jesus Christ is a foundational belief in Christianity, based on various biblical prophecies regarding the return of Jesus to Earth.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No 99%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No, Jesus Christ will not return before 2027 99%
Mercados abertos
ReligionPOLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume total
- € 56,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 13,3 mil
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No75%
- Yes25%
- Volume total
- € 6,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 5,6 mil
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Pietro Parolin5%
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 118 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 64,5
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No+1.5pt89.1%
- Yes-1.5pt10.9%
- Volume total
- € 798,3
- Volume 24h
- —
POLYMARKETVatican III in 2026?
- No-0.1pt91%
- Yes+0.1pt9%
- Volume total
- € 8,9
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSCatholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- No85.7%
- Yes14.3%
- Volume total
- € 793,6
- Volume 24h
- —
- Restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
- Will Joe Rogan convert to Islam by the end of 2030?
- Will Jesus Christ return in 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Jesus Christ return before 2027 é resolvido?
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Jesus Christ return before 2027 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria
- Onde mais Will Jesus Christ return before 2027 está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket, Manifold Markets.