Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 68.4%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado22/01/26, 05:11 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
What will be the top 10 movies in the US in 2026 with the greatest opening weekend (FSS)?
Manifold MarketsRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWill the re-release of Avenger Endgame Surpass the box office of Supergirl?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
PolymarketWhat will be the top grossing movie in the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
PolymarketRegras
This market resolves YES if i watch at least 100 movies throughout 2026, tracked by my Letterboxd profile (https://letterboxd.com/twofivesix/), more specifically, the 2026 diary (https://letterboxd.com/twofivesix/diary/for/2026/).
- Rewatches will count (though i dont do that often).
- I wont trade on this market.
Mercados abertos
Box Office / StreamingKALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+3.0pt99%
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 55+4.0pt94%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 314,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 33,6 mil
POLYMARKETWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 152%
- Crew Girl: Season 135%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams30%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 586,3
KALSHIWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 76,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 455,5
KALSHIDisney+ App Downloads in September
- Above 11945%
- Above 123+2.0pt37%
- Above 12929%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,1 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETHow many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- 8M+95%
- 6M+58%
- 12M+55%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 30,1
KALSHIParamount+ App Downloads in September
- Above 7957%
- Above 82-1.0pt51%
- Above 8351%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- Will SHREK 5 be delayed?
- How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
- Who will be the next Bond girl?
- What will be the top grossing movie in the US in 2026?
- Will The Batman: Part II be delayed?
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
- Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?
- Will "Oasis: Don’t Look Back In Anger" earn more than $22M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their openi
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
- Will The Odyssey have a higher domestic PTA than Spider-Man on every remaining Tuesday in September?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will i watch 100 movies this year??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 68% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will i watch 100 movies this year? é resolvido?
- Will i watch 100 movies this year? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will i watch 100 movies this year? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if i watch at least 100 movies throughout 2026, tracked by my Letterboxd profile (https://letterboxd.com/twofivesix/), more specifically, the 2026 diary (https://letterboxd.com/twofivesix/diary/for/2026/).