Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 73.2%
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13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado8/04/25, 08:24 UTC20/01/29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
I am a H1b, pending my EB2-NIW green card priority date, tech worker, Czech citizen, of no particular notoriety.
- Resolves NO if anytime before Jan 20, 2029 it becomes illegal or unsafe for someone like me living in San Francisco to physically leave USA within a couple hours if they were to decide to do so.
- Resolves YES if through January 20 2029 someone described above would remain able to leave USA expediently.
- Example conditions:
- Exit visa requirement enacted and I / someone similar to me would not automatically pass
- Planes grounded around where I am
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will I remain able to leave USA through January 20, 2029??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 73.2% em 25 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will I remain able to leave USA through January 20, 2029? é resolvido?
- Will I remain able to leave USA through January 20, 2029? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will I remain able to leave USA through January 20, 2029? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: I am a H1b, pending my EB2-NIW green card priority date, tech worker, Czech citizen, of no particular notoriety.