Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 90.7%
Previsores
24
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado10/01/23, 03:45 UTC1/01/31, 07:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Thus far, I've left my Manifold activities in broad daylight with my Twitter account linked and my name easily findable online.
- Will I regret doing so by 2030?
- I get utility from having as close to nothing as possible in my life hidden, and a secretive, alternate account kind of kills my vibe.
- I feel confident in my markets and trades, and there's nothing that I can think of that I wouldn't share with a loved one or employer.
- I also think being non-anon makes it easier to make friends online, which I've already started to do on Manifold.
- However, if something bad were to happen (e.g., lose my job/income potential, lose a relationship, get murdered by an assassination market on Manifold, etc.) because of not being anonymous, that would very likely make me wish that I had been anonymous.
Mercados abertos
SportsKALSHIBiltmore Championship Asheville Winner
- Max Greyserman+5.0pt5.7%
- Eric Cole+3.5pt5.7%
- Ben Kohles+3.5pt4.8%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 15,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mi
KALSHIBMW PGA Championship Winner
- Ludvig Åberg+7.1pt11.7%
- Aaron Rai+6.3pt8.1%
- Adam Scott+5.7pt7.2%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins (Sep 16, 2026)
- MIN75%
- NYY-32.0pt25%
- Volume total
- € 3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 3 mi
KALSHIMilwaukee vs Pittsburgh
- Pittsburgh+46.0pt89.1%
- Milwaukee-47.0pt10.9%
- Volume total
- € 2,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,8 mi
KALSHIBiltmore Championship Asheville End of Round 1 Leader
- Max Greyserman+15.5pt14.5%
- Eric Cole+12.6pt12%
- Benjamin James+5.0pt6%
+97 mais resultados
KALSHIReal Betis vs Getafe
- Real Betis+24.0pt82.2%
- Tie-12.0pt13.9%
- Getafe-13.0pt4%
- Volume total
- € 2,2 mi
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will I regret not using an anonymous account on Manifold by end of 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 91% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will I regret not using an anonymous account on Manifold by end of 2030? é resolvido?
- Will I regret not using an anonymous account on Manifold by end of 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como Will I regret not using an anonymous account on Manifold by end of 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Thus far, I've left my Manifold activities in broad daylight with my Twitter account linked and my name easily findable online.