Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 56.4%
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2
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado7/04/26, 14:55 UTC31/12/27, 05:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves YES if hafnium unwrought metal price exceeds 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2027.
- What is being measured: Hafnium unwrought metal spot price (USD/kg) on or nearest to December 31, 2027, based on USGS MCS annual average (for yearly markets) or Asian Metal / Argus Metals International spot quotes (for quarterly markets).
- YES if: Hafnium spot price >= 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2027 NO if: Hafnium spot price < 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2027
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — Hafnium section (usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/mcs) Published February annually; covers prior calendar year average price
- Asian Metal — hafnium unwrought China domestic price (asianmetal.com)
