Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 23:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 72.3%
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4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado7/04/26, 14:54 UTC31/12/26, 05:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves YES if hafnium unwrought metal price exceeds 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Hafnium unwrought metal spot price (USD/kg) on or nearest to December 31, 2026, based on USGS MCS annual average (for yearly markets) or Asian Metal / Argus Metals International spot quotes (for quarterly markets).
- YES if: Hafnium spot price >= 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2026 NO if: Hafnium spot price < 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — Hafnium section (usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/mcs) Published February annually; covers prior calendar year average price
- Asian Metal — hafnium unwrought China domestic price (asianmetal.com)
