Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 62.2%
Previsores
23
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado31/12/22, 21:59 UTC1/01/31, 07:00 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Note that to be declared eradicated, there must be zero reported cases for 3 years.
- From https://www.who.int/activities/certifying-eradication-of-dracunculiasis:
- To be declared free of dracunculiasis, a country that has stopped transmission of the disease must have reported zero indigenous cases through active surveillance for at least 3 consecutive calendar years.
Mercados abertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Volume total
- € 15,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 35,6 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,2 mil
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- € 83,5 mil
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 864,2 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume total
- € 915,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,5 mil
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Volume total
- € 4,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Guinea worm disease be eradicated before 2031??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 62% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Guinea worm disease be eradicated before 2031? é resolvido?
- Will Guinea worm disease be eradicated before 2031? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como Will Guinea worm disease be eradicated before 2031? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Note that to be declared eradicated, there must be zero reported cases for 3 years.