Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Google acqi-hire Mechanize by the end of 2026??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 58.2% em 29 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Will Google acqi-hire Mechanize by the end of 2026? é resolvido?

Will Google acqi-hire Mechanize by the end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 58.2%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 23 horas

Desatualizado

12/08/26, 16:29 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if:
Google and Mechanize execute a "talent-and-licensing" deal, "reverse acqui-hire," or non-exclusive technology licensing agreement (similar to Google's previous arrangements with Character.AI and Windsurf) where Mechanize continues to exist as an independent corporate entity, even if Google hires a portion of its workforce and pays licensing fees.
This market will resolve to NO if Alphabet Inc. (or Google) announces a formal, conventional corporate acquisition of Mechanize, Inc. on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT.
This requires Google to purchase a controlling equity stake (greater than 50%) or 100% of the assets/corporate equity of Mechanize, Inc. Mechanize is fully acquired by another corporate entity.