Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 95.6%
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado6/05/26, 21:34 UTC1/01/28, 22:28 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Euphoria: New season announcement date
KalshiWill The Rehearsal get renewed for a 3rd season?
Manifold MarketsWill Smiling Friends be renewed for a 6th season by Adult Swim by the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiHighest grossing movie in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
Creator Sam Levinson has stated he has “no plans” for a Season 4, saying he writes “every season like it’s the last season” and wants to “deliver a slam dunk” with Season 3.
- Zendaya has also hinted strongly that the series is coming to an end with Season 3.
- However, the case for renewal isn’t closed.
- HBO’s advertising for the Season 3 finale labels it a “season finale” rather than a “series finale.” HBO CEO Casey Bloys has said he and Levinson will have a conversation about “what he’s thinking” after Season 3 wraps.
- This market resolves YES if HBO officially announces a Season 4 renewal.
- It resolves NO if no renewal is announced by that date, or Levinson officially confirms Season 3 is the series finale.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 342,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 91,2 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 182,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 90,8 mil
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 mais resultados
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 264,6 mil
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 84,3 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Euphoria be renewed for Season 4??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Euphoria be renewed for Season 4? é resolvido?
- Will Euphoria be renewed for Season 4? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como Will Euphoria be renewed for Season 4? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Creator Sam Levinson has stated he has “no plans” for a Season 4, saying he writes “every season like it’s the last season” and wants to “deliver a slam dunk” with Season 3.