Will Elon Musk be worth more than $5 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2033?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffTecnologiaSpaceBusiness & Corporate6aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 76%
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21
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado3/02/26, 20:54 UTC1/01/33, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Elon Musk's net worth exceeds $5 trillion on January 1st, 2033, as measured by the Bloomberg Billionaires Index or Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List.
- The resolution will use the official net worth figure published by either source on that date.
- If both sources differ, the market resolves YES only if both sources report a net worth above $5 trillion.
- As of January 2026, Musk's net worth is estimated between $690-852 billion, making him the world's richest person.
- His wealth is primarily driven by a $366 billion stake in SpaceX, valued at $800 billion, and significant holdings in Tesla and xAI.
Mercados abertos
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
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- December 15,-1.0pt86%
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- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 48,8 mil
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
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KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
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POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
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POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 mais resultados
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Elon Musk be worth more than $5 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2033??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 76% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Elon Musk be worth more than $5 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2033? é resolvido?
- Will Elon Musk be worth more than $5 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2033? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2033.
- Como Will Elon Musk be worth more than $5 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2033? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria