Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 95.7%
Previsores
39
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado14/03/23, 04:34 UTC1/01/43, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
Manifold MarketsWho will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
Manifold MarketsWho or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]
Manifold MarketsBallon d'Or Winner 2026
PolymarketNcaafheisman 26
Robinhood (Rothera)The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
KalshiRegras
Person of the Year (called Man of the Year or Woman of the Year until 1999) is an annual issue of the United States news magazine and website Time featuring a person, a group, an idea, or an object that "for better or for worse ... has done the most to influence the events of the year".
- https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_Person_of_the_Year
- This market resolves to YES if Eliezer wins the prize at or before the 2042 edition.
- Other markets
Mercados abertos
AwardsPOLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
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- Lamine Yamal-0.3pt13.7%
- Kylian Mbappé+4.5pt11.8%
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ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN+1.0pt15%
- AMAN+1.0pt11%
- CCAR-2.0pt10%
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KALSHIThe Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI-2.0pt63.1%
- Resident Evil Requiem+1.0pt11.7%
- Control Resonant7.2%
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POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- Harry Kane+0.1pt94%
- Lamine Yamal-9.0pt76%
- Kylian Mbappé-8.5pt60%
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KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
- Olivia Rodrigo-4.0pt61%
- twenty one pilots+7.0pt16.1%
- Noah Kahan-6.0pt9.3%
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KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
- BTS+2.0pt75%
- LISA+5.0pt11.7%
- BLACKPINK5.8%
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- Volume total
- € 37,4 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042? é resolvido?
- Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2043.
- Como Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Person of the Year (called Man of the Year or Woman of the Year until 1999) is an annual issue of the United States news magazine and website Time featuring a person, a group, an idea, or an object that "for better or for worse ... has done the most to influence the events of the year".