Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade?
One-OffSociety & Culture3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 62.9%
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Atualizado há 12 minutos
13/12/22, 07:27 UTC1/01/30, 07:59 UTC
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Resolves subjectively.
- What this might include is a noticeable split into e.g. longtermist and neartermist.
- For example, with a large (>10%) minority of members of either groups stopping to identify as part of broader EA generally.
- Open to hashing out more objective criteria.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 63% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade? é resolvido?
- Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves subjectively.