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Will "[Fiction] [Comic] Effective Altruism and Rati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
One-OffSociety & Culture4m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 70%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado9/01/25, 01:18 UTC1/02/27, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
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PolymarketRegras
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post [Fiction] [Comic] Effective Altruism and Rationality meet at a Secular Solstice afterparty is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Mercados abertos
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- Above 1.8 million96%
- Above 1.7 million96%
- Above 1.9 million89%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 18 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 5,9 mil
KALSHIMaine lobster landings in 2026
- Above 55 million pounds94%
- Above 70 million pounds66%
- Above 75 million pounds44%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 2,6 mil
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-6.5pt72.3%
- Yes+6.5pt27.7%
- Volume total
- € 20 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 667,2
POLYMARKETIs Earth flat?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Volume total
- € 50,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 571,9
FORECASTEXWill University of Michigan rank first for public universities in 2027?
- No94%
- Yes6%
- Volume total
- € 522,2
- Volume 24h
- € 522,2
FORECASTEXWill Harvard tuition exceed $61,000 in 2026?
- Yes98%
- No2%
- Volume total
- € 522,2
- Volume 24h
- € 522,2
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will "[Fiction] [Comic] Effective Altruism and Rati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 70% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will "[Fiction] [Comic] Effective Altruism and Rati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? é resolvido?
- Will "[Fiction] [Comic] Effective Altruism and Rati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2027.
- Como Will "[Fiction] [Comic] Effective Altruism and Rati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.