Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 52%
Previsores
23
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 horas
Desatualizado24/03/23, 17:16 UTC31/12/30, 12:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
By 2027, will Silicon Photonics based multi-chip packages be the main way that most data centres handle data and network traffic?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic buy >1GW of capacity from Australian data centres by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
PolymarketWill Arkansas's crypto mining ownership ban survive appeal?
KalshiWill the federal government start mining Bitcoin?
KalshiRegras
From https://metaculus.com//questions/15610/data-centres-10-of-global-electricity/ Based on a recent report by the [IEA](https://www.iea.org/reports/data-centres-and-data-transmission-networks), demand for digital services has experienced rapid growth, with internet users and traffic more than doubling and expanding 20-fold since 2010, respectively.
- Data centres and data transmission networks account for around 1-1.5% of global electricity use, with energy efficiency improvements and renewable energy adoption mitigating the energy demand.
- Data centres and transmission networks contributed 0.9% of energy-related GHG emissions in 2020.
- Although global data centre energy use (excluding crypto) has grown only moderately due to efficiency improvements in some regions, smaller countries have seen rapid growth.
- Data transmission network energy efficiency has also improved rapidly.
- See below for the IEA table summarising the change between 2015 and 2021 for relevant metrics, with ‘Data centre energy use (excluding crypto)’ being the main indicator of relevance for this question. | Indicator | 2015 | 2021 | Change | |-----------------------------------------------|-----------|--------------|-----------------| | Internet users | 3 billion | 4.9 billion | +60% | | Internet traffic | 0.6 ZB | 3.4 ZB | +440% | | Data centre workloads | 180 million | 650 million | +260% | | **Data centre energy use (excluding crypto)** | 200 TWh | **220-320 TWh** | +10-60% | | Crypto mining energy use | 4 TWh | 100-140 TWh | +2,300-3,300% | | Data transmission network energy use | 220 TWh | 260-340 TWh | +20-60% | In Ireland, data centres already consumed 14% of the country’s electricity in 2021, according to the [Central Statistics Office](https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/ep/p-dcmec/datacentresmeteredelectricityconsumption2021/).
Mercados abertos
CryptoPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
- 74,000+1.4pt100%
- 68,000100%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 936 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 714,5 mil
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $77,000 or above98%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 567,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 564,3 mil
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $79,365.65 target
- No84%
- Yes16%
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 482,8 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $78,700 or above99%
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,600 or above99%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 403 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 382,6 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,2 mi
- What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 52% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030? é resolvido?
- Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2030.
- Como Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: From https://metaculus.com//questions/15610/data-centres-10-of-global-electricity/ Based on a recent report by the [IEA](https://www.iea.org/reports/data-centres-and-data-transmission-networks), demand for digital services has experienced rapid growth, with internet users and traffic more than doubling and expanding 20-fold since 2010, respectively.