Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 66.5%
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2
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado6/04/26, 18:26 UTC31/03/29, 04:00 UTC
Tendências
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Will China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 1500 kt?
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ForecastExRegras
This market resolves YES if China's total polysilicon production (all grades, HS 2804.61) for the full calendar year 2028 exceeds 2200 kt, as reported by CPIA or USGS MCS.
- YES if: China polysilicon production for 2028 >= 2200 kt NO if: China polysilicon production for 2028 < 2200 kt
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- CPIA annual polysilicon production report
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — Silicon chapter (released February annually)
- InfoLink Consulting annual polysilicon supply report
Mercados abertos
Commodities
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 414,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 265,7 mil
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
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KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
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- Volume total
- € 126,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 126,9 mil
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86591%
+67 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 113,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 113,1 mil
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
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- Volume total
- € 112,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 110,5 mil
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 113,6 mil
- Volume 24h
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 2200 kt??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 67% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 2200 kt? é resolvido?
- Will China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 2200 kt? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de março de 2029.
- Como Will China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 2200 kt? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if China's total polysilicon production (all grades, HS 2804.61) for the full calendar year 2028 exceeds 2200 kt, as reported by CPIA or USGS MCS.