Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 66.2%
Previsores
1
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado6/04/26, 18:25 UTC31/03/29, 04:00 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 1800 kt?
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ForecastExRegras
This market resolves YES if China's total polysilicon production (all grades, HS 2804.61) for the full calendar year 2028 exceeds 1500 kt, as reported by CPIA or USGS MCS.
- YES if: China polysilicon production for 2028 >= 1500 kt NO if: China polysilicon production for 2028 < 1500 kt
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- CPIA annual polysilicon production report
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — Silicon chapter (released February annually)
- InfoLink Consulting annual polysilicon supply report
