Will Charlie Kirk’s murder be used as pretense for troops at polling booths in 2026, 2028?
US PoliticsGeopolíticaOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 76%
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39
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado10/09/25, 22:33 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
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You should read the AI updates or the comments before participating
- Update 2025-09-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Either 2026 or 2028 can satisfy YES (not both required).
- Early resolution plan after 2026:
- If there are no attempts/pressure in 2026 citing the event, creator plans to early‑resolve NO.
- If it clearly occurs in 2026 (e.g., multiple states with soldiers/state pressure at polling booths), creator plans to early‑resolve YES.
- If there's only an ambiguous 2026 attempt citing the event (e.g., heightened police presence but not military), will keep open and wait to see if 2028 shows a clearer military/state presence; 2028 need not explicitly cite the event if it's a continuation.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Charlie Kirk’s murder be used as pretense for troops at polling booths in 2026, 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 76% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Charlie Kirk’s murder be used as pretense for troops at polling booths in 2026, 2028? é resolvido?
- Will Charlie Kirk’s murder be used as pretense for troops at polling booths in 2026, 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como Will Charlie Kirk’s murder be used as pretense for troops at polling booths in 2026, 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: You should read the AI updates or the comments before participating