Will Caroline Ellison resume posting on Tumblr when she is released from prison?
CriptoOne-OffCrime & Justice1a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 64.5%
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18
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binary
Metodologia
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Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado1/11/24, 17:47 UTC8/11/27, 07:59 UTC
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Caroline Ellison was sentenced to two years in prison for her role in the FTX scandal, and is set to begin her sentence on or around November 7, 2024.
- Before the FTX collapse, she was a semi-frequent poster on Tumblr, under the username worldoptimization (the blog is currently deactivated but still viewable, and could be reactivated in the future).
- This question asks whether she will (publicly) resume posting on Tumblr within a year of her expected release date, under either the existing worldoptimization username or a new one.
- If Tumblr ceases to exist before then, this will resolve to "NO".
- Update 2025-04-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Criteria for a 'Yes' Outcome:
- Real Activity: A one-off post or a post stating no further posts will be made does not count.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Caroline Ellison resume posting on Tumblr when she is released from prison??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 65% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Caroline Ellison resume posting on Tumblr when she is released from prison? é resolvido?
- Will Caroline Ellison resume posting on Tumblr when she is released from prison? deverá ser resolvido em 8 de novembro de 2027.
- Como Will Caroline Ellison resume posting on Tumblr when she is released from prison? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Caroline Ellison was sentenced to two years in prison for her role in the FTX scandal, and is set to begin her sentence on or around November 7, 2024.