Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Calvin Wang successfully adopt my sleep schedule for a week??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 3 de outubro de 2026.

Will Calvin Wang successfully adopt my sleep schedule for a week?

One-OffCâmbio2m

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 95%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 11 horas

Desatualizado

28/09/26, 20:53 UTC20/12/26, 04:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

Calvin Wang is a first-year student at MIT and described my sleep schedule as "lowkey kinda appealing".

Will he adopt it for a week?
Informally, this market resolves YES if for seven consecutive days in the fall semester, Calvin sleeps for at least seven hours and wakes up before 6:30am.
Formally, let a day D be passing if Calvin is not asleep between 6:30am local time and 6:30pm local time on day D and is asleep for at least seven hours from 6:30pm local time on day D to 6:30am local time on day D+1.
This market resolves YES if there exist seven consecutive days in the Fall 2026 semester at MIT which are passing.
Otherwise, the market resolves NO.