Will Brazil revoke the new eVisa requirement for US citizens, cancel the border for USA passport holders in 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoGeopolíticaAmérica Latina2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 86.8%
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7
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado20/12/25, 20:52 UTC31/12/26, 21:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Description: This market resolves to YES if the government of Brazil officially reinstates visa-free entry for United States citizens for tourism/business purposes at any point between 1 January 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- It resolves to NO if the eVisa (or a traditional visa) remains mandatory for US citizens throughout the entirety of 2026.
- Current Status: Since April 10, 2025, US citizens require an eVisa to enter Brazil.
- Legislative Uncertainty: The Brazilian Senate has previously voted to suspend this new measure, but that requires approval from the Chamber of Deputies and presidential sanction/veto considerations to become law.
- 2026 Outlook: Current consular guidance states that throughout 2026, "You cannot just show up with a USA passport anymore when travel to Brazil."
- This market tracks if that policy holds or is overturned.
