Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 59.6%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado2/06/26, 19:56 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the first orbital or lunar launch of a Blue Origin "Blue Moon" lander (including the Mark 1 "Endurance" or Mark 2 HLS variants) is carried out by a SpaceX Falcon Heavy rocket.
- This market resolves to NO if:
- The first launch of a Blue Moon lander is carried out by any other launch vehicle (such as Blue Origin's New Glenn, ULA's Vulcan Centaur, SLS, or Starship).
- The Blue Moon program is officially canceled by NASA or Blue Origin before any launch occurs.
- No Blue Moon lander has successfully launched by December 31, 2030.
Mercados abertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 944,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 721,8 mil
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume total
- € 620 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 536 mil
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume total
- € 514,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 496,9 mil
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
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- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Blue Moon be launched on Falcon Heavy ??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 60% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Blue Moon be launched on Falcon Heavy ? é resolvido?
- Will Blue Moon be launched on Falcon Heavy ? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Blue Moon be launched on Falcon Heavy ? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria