Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Ben Shapiro be criminally charged, indicted, or SEC-sued before 2040??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 73.1% em 11 de outubro de 2026.

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Will Ben Shapiro be criminally charged, indicted, or SEC-sued before 2040?

RegulamentaçãoOne-OffPolítica Política dos EUA Eleição Crime e justiça13a

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 73.1%

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Tipo de pergunta

binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 12 minutos

27/10/24, 17:26 UTC1/01/40, 04:59 UTC

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Regras

Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing Ben Shapiro (political commentator, lawyer) has been indicted or criminally charged by police, or sued by the SEC (or similar).

Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2040.
Question is global -- criminal charges in any country count.
Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, or if they are found not guilty.
Lawsuits generally do not count unless they come from a governing body such as the SEC.
Examples include wire fraud, perjury, assault, arson, theft, and falsifying business records.

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Will Ben Shapiro be criminally charged, indicted, or SEC-sued before 2040?

Will Ben Shapiro be criminally charged, indicted, or SEC-sued before 2040?

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Will Ben Shapiro be criminally charged, indicted, or SEC-sued before 2040?

Will Ben Shapiro be criminally charged, indicted, or SEC-sued before 2040?

Mercados abertos

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by which date?

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by which date?

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by which date?

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by which date?

Texas enacts data center moratorium by which date?

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by which date?

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Perguntas frequentes

Use este mercado em código ou em um agente de IA

Mercados abertos

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by which date?

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by which date?

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by which date?

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by which date?

Texas enacts data center moratorium by which date?

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by which date?