Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 91.1% em 26 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050? é resolvido?

Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2050.

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Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 07:03 UTC · política pm-quality-4

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Não 91.1%

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Atualizado há 8 horas

Desatualizado

4/10/23, 08:36 UTC1/01/50, 22:59 UTC

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Resultado24hProbabilidade

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Ever since its incorporation into the German Empire in 1871, calls for a Bavarian independent state have been loud and numerous.

As one of Germany's most populous and richest states with a strong regional identity, Bavarian separatists argue that the German government infringes on its sovereign rights and worsens quality of life by taking resources away from Bavaria through financial redistribution, for example.
In some ways, it's reminiscent of other separatist movements such as those of Scotland or Catalonia.
[image]However, according to a 2017 YouGov poll, only 32% of Bavarians would support independence, and the only party in favour of it (Bavaria Party) does not currently have enough votes to enter parliament.