Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 64.9%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado29/10/25, 18:53 UTC31/12/26, 19:46 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Kalshi$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketRegras
I've submitted one design to the relevant market so far, but I'm hoping to get in two or three more when I have time.
- Any one of my designs has to get approved by Genzy or an Admin or requested by another mod to be put up for contention and it has to be chosen for the shop in the end for this to resolve YES.
- It's unclear when the second condition will be known, so this close date was chosen for convenience and might change.
- If my design is announced as chosen (or all my designs aren't included in the full set of those chosen), that's sufficient to resolve even if the merch shop is delayed significantly or what merch is available is different than what was announced.
- My submitted designs:
- Cranes In Form (repeating pattern)
Mercados abertos
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 180,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 180,1 mil
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt57.6%
- 65-89+13.0pt34.3%
- 90-114+0.5pt4%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 mais resultados
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 182,1 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 60,4 mil
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will any of my designs be chosen for the Mana Merch Shop by end 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 65% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will any of my designs be chosen for the Mana Merch Shop by end 2026? é resolvido?
- Will any of my designs be chosen for the Mana Merch Shop by end 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will any of my designs be chosen for the Mana Merch Shop by end 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: I've submitted one design to the relevant market so far, but I'm hoping to get in two or three more when I have time.