will any movie released in 2026 make more than Avatar { in 2026}
One-OffBox Office / StreamingEntretenimento3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 91.8%
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15
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Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado3/02/26, 07:39 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if any movie with a worldwide theatrical release date in 2026 earns more than $2,923,710,708 in total worldwide box office gross.
- Resolution will be determined using data from Box Office Mojo, which tracks cumulative worldwide box office totals including all theatrical releases and re-releases.
- The threshold is based on Avatar's estimated $2.92 billion worldwide gross, which remains the highest-grossing movie of all time.
- Avatar (2009) earned an estimated $2.92 billion at the box office worldwide, putting it ahead of "Avengers: Endgame" at $2.8 billion.
- Avatar's 2022 sequel "Avatar: The Way of Water" brought audiences back to Pandora for a global box office gross of $2.32 billion, demonstrating that even the most successful sequels have struggled to approach the original's record.
Mercados abertos
Box Office / StreamingKALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+3.0pt99%
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 55+4.0pt94%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 314,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 33,6 mil
POLYMARKETWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 152%
- Crew Girl: Season 135%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams30%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 586,3
KALSHIWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 76,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 455,5
KALSHIDisney+ App Downloads in September
- Above 11945%
- Above 123+2.0pt37%
- Above 12929%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,1 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETHow many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- 8M+95%
- 6M+58%
- 12M+55%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 30,1
KALSHIParamount+ App Downloads in September
- Above 7957%
- Above 82-1.0pt51%
- Above 8351%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,2 mil
- Volume 24h
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de will any movie released in 2026 make more than Avatar { in 2026}?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 92% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando will any movie released in 2026 make more than Avatar { in 2026} é resolvido?
- will any movie released in 2026 make more than Avatar { in 2026} deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como will any movie released in 2026 make more than Avatar { in 2026} é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria