Will any gulf-state make a side-deal with Iran to avoid further attacks?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolíticaMiddle East1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 60%
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Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado16/03/26, 12:06 UTC1/01/28, 11:41 UTC
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Any deal that could be easily perceived as "against the interests of the USA" will be considered.
- These include but are not limited to: - Kicking out USA military personnel from local bases - Temporarily restricting US operations in said bases - Restricting airspace access to the USA - Agreeing to only sell oil in Yuan for the duration of the conflict
- The deal must: 1) Offer a concrete non-aggression guarantee by Iran 2) Sideline the USA* 3) Be publicly acknowledged by both sides
- *A deal between the USA and Iran that happens to help conditions for all the gulf-states will not be considered.
- (That said, I can see a world where Bahrain and Iran strike a deal and Trump insists it's his deal cause he's the dealmaker...
- I would consider this still sidelines the USA if it clearly favours Bahrain only.)
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will any gulf-state make a side-deal with Iran to avoid further attacks??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 60% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will any gulf-state make a side-deal with Iran to avoid further attacks? é resolvido?
- Will any gulf-state make a side-deal with Iran to avoid further attacks? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como Will any gulf-state make a side-deal with Iran to avoid further attacks? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Any deal that could be easily perceived as "against the interests of the USA" will be considered.