Will any country implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?
One-OffSociedade e culturaPolítica13aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 60.9%
Previsores
50
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado29/05/23, 08:53 UTC31/12/39, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will any EU country implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the US implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the US implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a country implement Universal Basic Income as a permanent policy by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Washington Initiative IL26-638 (girls' sports eligibility by sex) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsIdaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
PolymarketRegras
Policy criteria for YES resolution:
- Is a formal legislation
- Is nationwide (not a regional trial)
- Is a "full UBI" (covers all basic living expenses of the average person)
- Is stable (not a one-off payment; planned for at least 5+ years into the future)
- Occurs before Jan 1, 2040 EST
