Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 78.8%
Previsores
58
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado22/12/22, 01:22 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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By "liquid" I mean "can reasonably direct 100M of their own capital to whatever they want." / "not fake VC valuations."
- EDIT: This includes donations/money spent in a personal capacity).
- See comments.
Mercados abertos
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 180,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 180,1 mil
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt57.6%
- 65-89+13.0pt34.3%
- 90-114+0.5pt4%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 mais resultados
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 182,1 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 60,4 mil
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 79% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030? é resolvido?
- Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: By "liquid" I mean "can reasonably direct 100M of their own capital to whatever they want." / "not fake VC valuations."