Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?
AçõesTecnologiaOne-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 29 de out. de 2026, 14:05 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 81.4%
Não 81.4%Previsores
44
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado ontem
Desatualizado23/09/24, 16:56 UTC1/01/28, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Apple stock (AAPL) hit $500 before $50?
Manifold MarketsNVDA stock price exceeds AAPL stock price before January 1, 2027
Manifold MarketsWill the 2027 CoolFold Financial Portfolio outperform Nvidia / NVDA over the next year?
Manifold MarketsWill Greece's GDP per capita (Nominal) surpass it's peak value in 2008 by the end of the decade?
Manifold MarketsAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 30?
PolymarketAmazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on October 30?
PolymarketRegras
Is there an AI bubble, and if so how big is it? Let's find out using the actual stock market.
- Resolves YES if and only if any 4 of the mentioned stocks (AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM) trade at 40% or less of their split-adjusted historical peak between now and Dec 31, 2027, inclusive.
- For example, if ASML goes up to a new peak of $1200 and then falls back down to $480 a share, then ASML will count as one the 4 stocks.
- The 4 stocks need not all be below 40% at the same time.
- If any of the stocks are renamed, the market will continue track the price of the stock under its new name.
- If any are acquired by another publicly traded company, the market will track the proportion of that other company's stock which the original stock represents.
