Will annual copper production from bio-leaching of primary sulfides exceed 10 kt by end of 2028?
CommoditiesOne-OffXadrezEsportes2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 04:34 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 62.1%
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8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado9/02/26, 20:26 UTC31/12/28, 05:00 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if total annual copper cathode production from bio-leaching of primary sulfide ores exceeds 10,000 tonnes in calendar year 2028.
- Combined output from Nuton-enabled sites (JCM + any new deployments) plus any other commercial bio-leaching operations on primary sulfides totals >10 kt
- Production data published in operator annual reports, technical reports, or verified by independent commodity consultancies
- Total primary sulfide bio-leach production remains below 10 kt in CY2028
- Only pilot/test production (not commercial-scale) exceeds threshold
