Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 29 de out. de 2026, 13:40 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 83.7%
Previsores
23
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado ontem
Desatualizado21/05/25, 14:29 UTC2/01/30, 14:28 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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In May 2025, the Chicago Sun-Times newspaper published an AI-generated "summer reading list for 2025" that recommended several books which don’t actually exist, including "The Last Algorithm" by sci-fi author Andy Weir (author of the books The Martian, Artemis, and Project Hail Mary).
- This prediction market asks whether Andy Weir will actually write a work titled "The Last Algorithm" before the year 2030.
- Resolving rules
- This will be resolved YES shortly after the work becomes available and can be read by an ordinary person.
- This will be resolved NO at the beginning of the year 2030 if no public information about such a work exists.
- UTC timezone will be used to determine the start of 2030.