Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 83.4%
Previsores
23
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado21/05/25, 14:29 UTC2/01/30, 14:28 UTC
Tendências
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In May 2025, the Chicago Sun-Times newspaper published an AI-generated "summer reading list for 2025" that recommended several books which don’t actually exist, including "The Last Algorithm" by sci-fi author Andy Weir (author of the books The Martian, Artemis, and Project Hail Mary).
- This prediction market asks whether Andy Weir will actually write a work titled "The Last Algorithm" before the year 2030.
- Resolving rules
- This will be resolved YES shortly after the work becomes available and can be read by an ordinary person.
- This will be resolved NO at the beginning of the year 2030 if no public information about such a work exists.
- UTC timezone will be used to determine the start of 2030.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
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- € 342,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 91,2 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
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- € 182,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 90,8 mil
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
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KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
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KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
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- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
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KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
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- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
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- Volume total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Andy Weir write a work titled "The Last Algorithm"? (before 2030)?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 83% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Andy Weir write a work titled "The Last Algorithm"? (before 2030) é resolvido?
- Will Andy Weir write a work titled "The Last Algorithm"? (before 2030) deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Will Andy Weir write a work titled "The Last Algorithm"? (before 2030) é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: In May 2025, the Chicago Sun-Times newspaper published an AI-generated "summer reading list for 2025" that recommended several books which don’t actually exist, including "The Last Algorithm" by sci-fi author Andy Weir (author of the books The Martian, Artemis, and Project Hail Mary).