Will an American walk on the Moon during Trump's second term?
PolíticaOne-OffEspaçoPolítica dos EUAChina2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 70%
Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado20/06/25, 03:25 UTC20/01/29, 11:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if an American astronaut walks on the Moon between January 20, 2025, and January 20, 2029.
- Verification will be based on official NASA announcements and reputable news sources.
- NASA's Artemis program aims to return humans to the Moon.
- Artemis III, the mission intended to achieve this, has faced multiple delays.
- As of December 2024, NASA announced a postponement of Artemis III to mid-2027 due to technical challenges, including heat shield issues on the Orion capsule.
