Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 92.7%
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 horas
Desatualizado6/01/26, 16:27 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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If Alex O'Connor (host of the podcast Within Reason) publicly comes around and seriously identifies himself as a Christian before 2027, this will resolve YES.
- Otherwise resolves NO on Jan 1. 2027.
Mercados abertos
ReligionKALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No88%
- Yes-38.0pt12%
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- € 9,5 mil
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- No99%
- Yes1%
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- € 56,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 9,2 mil
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Pietro Parolin-0.8pt4%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 118 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 4,3
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No-0.5pt90%
- Yes+0.5pt10%
- Volume total
- € 797,6
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PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Alex O'Connor profess Christianity before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 93% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Alex O'Connor profess Christianity before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will Alex O'Connor profess Christianity before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Alex O'Connor profess Christianity before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Alex O'Connor (host of the podcast Within Reason) publicly comes around and seriously identifies himself as a Christian before 2027, this will resolve YES.