Will Abdul El-Sayed win by a larger margin than James Talarico does?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição4dManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 64.1%
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16
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 35 minutos
26/10/26, 19:38 UTC4/11/26, 00:00 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Abdul El-Sayed wins the November 3, 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate election by a larger margin of victory (measured in percentage points of the total vote) than James Talarico wins the November 3, 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election.
- It will also resolve to YES if Abdul el Sayed loses by a smaller margin than Talarico does if both lose.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO, including if:
- James Talarico wins by a larger percentage-point margin than Abdul El-Sayed.
- Both candidates win by the exact same percentage-point margin.
