Will a NATO or EU country order ISPs to block a US .gov website before end of Trump's term?
Política dos EUAOne-OffGeopolíticaEuropa2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 72.5%
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 22 horas
Desatualizado19/02/26, 03:20 UTC20/01/29, 11:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if any NATO or EU member country orders one or more ISPs to block access to a website in the .gov domain before noon, January 20, 2029 (Eastern Time).
- The blocking must be a formal directive to ISPs, either by the government, a judge, or anyone legally authorized to issue such orders in the local political system, not a "voluntary" action by individual ISPs.
- Resolution will be determined by credible news reports, official government statements, or documented ISP blocking lists confirming the order.
- The market resolves NO if no such order is issued by the deadline.
- The question is motivated by reports of a US plan to set an online portal at freedom.gov to bypass foreign censorship, allowing users to route their traffic through it so it appears to originate from within the United States.
