Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 52.3%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado1/08/26, 16:23 UTC31/12/29, 22:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?
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KalshiRegras
Resolves YES if a human sets foot on the moon after 2000 but before 2030.
- I keep an ordered list of human moon landing markets here: @/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again
- @/Mqrius/will-spacexs-hls-uncrewed-demo-laun
- @/Mqrius/will-two-starships-dock-in-orbit-be-4762f93e6882
- Artemis 2 timeline: @/Mqrius/will-artemis-ii-launch-before-2026
- (Identical market to: source market)
Mercados abertos
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- OpenAI-1.7pt10%
- Google2%
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- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes59.4%
- No40.6%
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- € 39,2 mil
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 mais resultados
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- October 3197%
- Successful splash down?84%
- September 30-5.3pt83%
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- Volume total
- € 409,9 mil
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.3pt59.8%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
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KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-1.0pt84%
- Above 9-27.0pt46%
- Above 10-8.0pt23%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 52% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030? é resolvido?
- Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if a human sets foot on the moon after 2000 but before 2030.