Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup?
One-OffSociety & CulturePolítica5mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 74.3%
Previsores
34
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado6/10/23, 19:32 UTC1/03/27, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will 5% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US in 2026, according to Gallup?
Manifold MarketsWill 1% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US in 2026, according to Gallup?
Manifold MarketsWill 2% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US in 2026, according to Gallup?
Manifold MarketsWill Americans' confidence in the Supreme Court decline in 2027, according to Gallup?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Gallup polls Americans on whether they identify as LGBT.
- Since polling began, Americans' self-identification as LGBT has risen from 3.5% in 2012 to 7.2% in 2022.
- In the last three years, polling results were published in articles on Gallup's website the February after the year in-question (2020, 2021, 2022).
- Polling temporarily lapsed in 2018 and 2019.
- If Gallup does not publish anything on this question for all of the next 3 years, this question resolves N/A. So long as at least 1 of the next 3 years has directly comparable data, this question resolves YES if any of Gallup's polling shows that 10% or more of Americans identify as LGBT.
Mercados abertos
Society & Culture
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt30.3%
- <40-5.5pt12.1%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 28,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 25,3 mil
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volume total
- € 6,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 5,8 mil
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Hurricane95%
- Canada / Canadian89%
- Tariff86%
+13 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6,1 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- € 18,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 989,4
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- € 15,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 952,4
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Volume total
- € 136,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 247
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 74% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup? é resolvido?
- Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de março de 2027.
- Como Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Gallup polls Americans on whether they identify as LGBT.