Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualAdam Hamilton (d) 57.9%+7.9ptLíder entre 3 opções
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+24.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado29/10/26, 00:06 UTC1/01/27, 02:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Polls indicate a possible upset, but if we’ve learned anything in the last two elections… polls are often wrong.
- Kansas hadn’t elected a Democrat senator since 1932.
- If the election is clearly called by at least 2 major news organizations the question will settle.
- If the result is in doubt it will resolve by the end of the year when it does get called or, if needed with a best estimate based on Kalshi odds
